MAKING BIG MONEY IN THE STOCK MARKET REQUIRES THE MOST RELIABLE DATA. Everyone knows that fact, but where does it come from? Reliable information is comprehensive, supportive, and subjective to the source and the motives behind the declarations. Sources that prioritize accuracy, objectivity, and thoroughness as they are reliable to investment advice are so varied it is impossible to determine the truth. There are reputable investment services companies and the other kind; institutional organizations that specialize in assets assessments, and "experts" with opinions, accounting professionals with specific education, and special experience requirements to perform specialized tasks. Finally, their specialized interactive community is computer driven with its selective software and platforms. The result are ostensibly distilled into Tip Sheets? A stock tip sheet is a document that is used to provide information on what stocks to buy and sell. The document, typical to a horse racing form, lists investment "ideas," as well as their odds and what the "handicapper" believes about their chances of winning. From investment professional, financial media to cable business news, from email newsletters to notifications from apps, we are challenged and compromised every moment of every day to cut through the noise and zero in on information that’s trustworthy, accurate, and relevant. Add in scholarly "talking heads," peer-reviewed articles, reputable business organizational reports, and expert opinions, while attending to avoid biased or sensationalized content. Indeed, all investors are relying on information that is less them 50 percent reliable, as a factual data source.
According to SPM tag, of the top 250 investment service firms in the United States, sixty-one percent declared no major sentiment shift in 2025, that the benchmark S&P 500 ($SPX) will match S&P 500 gains of over 20% in 2023 and 2024.
So far in 2025, the S&P 500 closed at 5,5638.94 down 7.97% from its record high of 6,144.15 on February 19 and notching its first correction in over a year. The selloff extends a rout in US markets that has been driven by the uncertainty around Trump’s tariff announcements.
The last correction to the S&P 500 occurred in October 2023, when the benchmark index closed down 10.3% from its recent high; the correction took 24 days to recover from.
Since 1929, corrections on average resulted in an average peak to trough decline of 13.8%, as opposed to an average decline of 35.6% during bear markets.
The 2008 recession, officially known as the "Great Recession," lasted for 18 months, from December 2007 to June 2009.
Prior to and six months before these events, the "experts" in various degrees of bullishness had predicted, in essence, "a robust stock market with bigger gains to come."
Well, it didn't happen, and most traders lost 80% to 95% of their money in less than one year after the event started.
NOW FOR THE BEST OF THE STORY.
G-101 SPM AI algorithm is an investment/enterprise predictor that gathers data from 129 preset sources and presents the values as SPM matrix integers. The database tracks over 5215 individual stock components and other data subsets with each one carrying a "floating" SPM tag. The higher the value the greater the subjective probability of the collective data being accurate. The net results are dedicated by the issuance of an auxiliary SPM tag.
Under the generative stock components category on the last 2600 trades – G-101 SPM AI algorithm had a performance rating of 82.64%.
note: The best Wall Street experts or the other kinds have done on the last 1000 as publicly posted was 57.9%.
FACTS:
To date, the S&P 500′s rapid 10% decline from a record high into correction territory has wiped out trillions of dollars in market value.
The market value of the S&P 500 at its Feb. 19 peak was $47.03 trillion, according to SPM tag. .
That makes for a total loss of about $4.73 trillion in about three weeks.
As posted at the time of the event at https://stocktwits.com/G101SPM
What G-101 SPM AI algorithm reported:
02.20.25 "According to SPM tag, the inflation news is not good for fundamentals and the need to "step-back" is prudent. ^^^ By maintaining a 25% cash reserves, we have reduced our overall risk and allow more firepower for the "bargains ahead." Happy hunting!"
02.25.25 "Set cash reserves at 30% from 25%."
02.27.25 "$SPX closed at SPM near support (5861.57). A 2% drop below this number "requires a test at 5750 and a 60% haircut on long positions."
03.03.25 "Set cash reserves at 40% for the following reasons. UPDATE ^ The final week of February showed corrective action; $SPX S&P 500 logged a 1.0% decline. ^ Increased selling in the mega caps:"
03.05.25 "Maintain cash reserves at 50%/ use current Trump noise to reduce positions and continue to apply SPM data as a "positional strategist."
03.06.25 "Losing followers because they don't like the truth. Maintain our cash reserve values is not a joke. As the term applied to G-101 SPM AI algorithm --- Cash reserves are instantly available cash assets to purchase securities and other financial instruments. During the growth and maturity stages of investing, maintaining a flexible cash reserve is the best means for success, both to hedge against unforeseen problems and to finance portfolio expansion through capital reinvestment. Moreover, by setting cash reserves they act as buffers to limit buying power when the underlining algorithm data* predicts the degree of risk/reward in the marketplace. * As a priority data category cash reserves are determined by our Primary Volume Locator (PVL), which tracks cash flows of the $SPX S&P 500 Index components to estimate the underlining liquidity of the Index."
03.07.25 "Set cash reserves at 60%."
03.10.25 "MAINTAIN cash reserves at 60%."
03.11.25 "Maintain 60% cash reverses - uses today's early "pop" even out portfolio. $SPX The S&P futures 5642.50 +21.50. The selling from Monday spilled into the overnight session as the S&P dove to 5558.00 during the early stages of the Asian trade. That dip was bought, and the market appears to have stabilized since crossing back over the 5630 vicinity."
03.12.25 "Maintain cash reserves at 60% / use opportunity to SELL INTO STRENGTH."
03.13.25 "Maintain 60% cash reserves. note: Since midterm projectory of $SPX is negative."
03.14.25 "Maintain 60% cash reserves / don't get trapped by "dead cat bounce."
03.14.25 "Set support at 5404/resistance 5634 $SPX The S&P 500 futures 5576.75 +49.25. ^^^ Use opportunity to SELL INTO STRENGTH."
03.14.25 "$SPX 6527.24 +107.18 is near top of today's SPM range set at 5634. The rebound from oversold conditions is merely a "dead cat bounce" even though it's a BIG CAT. The issue here / SPM 91.03 tag has $SPX lower in the near/ and midterm."
CONCLUSION:
By adhering to fixed cash reserve you would have (1) reduced or eliminated altogether potential risk of buying long stock positions in a falling market, (2) maintain buying power for "special opportunities" when an SPM tag is above SPM 87.50 (a value that a low risk rate), and (3) increased without risk your portfolios value by move surplus into treasury notes.
note: Review entire certified text below.
Mar 14, 3m
$SPX 6527.24 +107.18 is near top of today's SPM range set at 5634. The rebound from oversold conditions is merely a "dead cat bounce" even though it's a BIG CAT.
The issue here / SPM 91.03 tag has $SPX lower in the near/ and midterm.
FACTORS :
1. S&P 500 closing yesterday in correction territory (down more than 10% from Feb. 19 high) fueled buy-the-dip interest.
2. Midcap 400 were down between 3.9% and 4.9% for the week coming into today. Mega-cap stocks have exhibited some relative strength.
3. Government shutdown will be averted .
4. US-Canada trade heat has cooled down a bit.
5. Even though $SPX negative, disappointing University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for March, showed yet drop in sentiment and the largest month-over-month jump in long-run inflation expectations (from 3.5% to 3.9%) since 1993, Wall Street claimed it was a "one-off."
Wrong but the noise has "jumped stocks."
Mar 14, 8:14 AM
#FIRSTLOOK Set support at 5404/resistance 5634 $SPX The S&P 500 futures 5576.75 +49.25. ^^^ Use opportunity to SELL INTO STRENGTH / ^^^ Preliminary March University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Survey -- at 10:00 ET -- will be a major event. Projected to be $SPX negative. issue: Consumer sentiment reading important to gauge Fed's decision in the future. ^^^ 10-yr yield is up three basis points to 4.30%. 2-yr yield is up three basis points to 3.95%. note: The threat of a government shutdown diminishing has provided a basis for the buy-the-dip mentality after Senator Chuck Schumer said he would vote to keep the government funded.
#FIRSTLOOK Maintain 60% cash reserves / don't get trapped by "dead cat bounce." $SPX S&P futures 5569.75 +42.25. The market got hopping in the after-hours but has maintained a steady bid throughout the night. The high rests at 5574.00, while the low sits at 5538.75. Asian markets finished strong on Friday. Chinese and Hong Kong markets surged after authorities announced plans to discuss "boosting consumption" measures next week. The Shanghai Composite jumped 1.8%, while the Hang Seng climbed 2.1%, led by strong buying in consumer-related stocks. European markets edged higher on Friday but remained on track for a weekly loss amid trade tensions and economic slowdown fears. 10 yr Note: 4.302% USD/JPY: 148.94 +1.12 EUR/USD: 1.0854 -0.0001 Europe: FTSE: +0.3% DAX: +0.3% CAC: +0.6% Asia: Hang Seng: +2.1% Shanghai: +1.8% Nikkei: +0.7% Gold (3011.70 +20.40) Silver (34.800 +0.494) Crude (67.29 +0.74) $BTC.X 82,778.73 -621.19
#FIRSTLOOK Use LRT at 5525, 5500, 5441, 5404 / resistance 5600 $SPX S&P 500 futures 5591.50 -13.75. note: Uncertainty like fear has turned U.S. trade policy and retaliatory measures into a "falling knife." ^^ February Producer Price Index (PPI) $SPX negative. ^^ 10-yr yield is one basis point higher at 4.33% 2-yr yield is one basis point higher at 4.00%. As posted : "BUY 2-YEAR PAPER" and lock-in 4% --- you're not going to get a better return with in "grand experiment." The same guy who filed business bankruptcies six times suggests, he is not a safe bet. LRT is formally called the Longer Rate Theory - The longer a value decline below set influences the rate of decay continues to accelerate in units of three until consolidation is achieved within a 0.005 variance over a 15-day period to confirm a reversal of direction. Bearish
#FIRSTLOOK Use LRT at 5525, 5500, 5441, 5404 / resistance 5600 $SPX S&P 500 futures 5591.50 -13.75. note: Uncertainty like fear has turned U.S. trade policy and retaliatory measures into a "falling knife." ^^ February Producer Price Index (PPI) $SPX negative. ^^ 10-yr yield is one basis point higher at 4.33% 2-yr yield is one basis point higher at 4.00%. As posted : "BUY 2-YEAR PAPER" and lock-in 4% --- you're not going to get a better return with in "grand experiment." The same guy who filed business bankruptcies six times suggests, he is not a safe bet. LRT is formally called the Longer Rate Theory - The longer a value decline below set influences the rate of decay continues to accelerate in units of three until consolidation is achieved within a 0.005 variance over a 15-day period to confirm a reversal of direction.
#FIRSTLOOK Maintain 60% cash reserves. note: Since midterm protectory of $SPX is negative, Move surplus cash into US 2 Year Notes to lock-in 4% net. $SPX S&P futures 5604.25 -0.75. An early attempt to rally in the after-hours was met with resistance, and the S&P peaked at 5623.00. Sellers took control, pushing spoos to the low of 5559.25 before the bounce to the current level. 10 yr Note: 4.323% USD/JPY: 147.96 -0.29 EUR/USD: 1.0878 -0.0011 Europe: FTSE: +0.3% DAX: -0.2% CAC: +0.1% Asia: Hang Seng: -0.6% Shanghai: -0.4% Nikkei: -0.1% Gold (2951.70 +4.70) Silver (33.505 -0.238) Crude (67.58 -0.21 $BTC.X 83,280.95 +881.15
#SPMNOTES TAKE PROFITS INTO STRENGTH Remember: Rally relates to Ukraine noise. Fact: Inflation etc. remain the issues / above the Fed's 2.0% target, and now with tariff actions ramping up -- and "reciprocal tariffs" coming April 2 -- confidence has been shaken that future inflation reports will convey undeniably pleasing inflation data.
#FIRSTLOOK Maintain cash reserves at 60% / use opportunity to SELL INTO STRENGTH. $SPX The S&P futures 5614.50 +37.25 The market perked up in the after-hours and migrated upwardly, peaking at 5615.75. The low was The low was set early in the session at 5574.25. note: The major European bourses are advancing as reports of a potential ceasefire between Ukraine and Russia have boosted sentiment. Strength is represented by Siemens Energy, Rheinmetall, Heidelberg Materials, Siemens, Commerzbank, MTU Aero Engines, Deutsche Bank, and Allianz, which are up 2-5%. 10 yr Note: 4.279% USD/JPY: 148.51 +0.73 EUR/USD: 1.0921 +0.0001 Europe: FTSE: +0.4% DAX: +1.2% CAC: +1.0% Asia: Hang Seng: -0.8% Shanghai: -0.2% Nikkei: +0.1% Gold (2927.70 +6.80) Silver (33.460 +0.313) Crude (66.57 +0.32) $BTC.X 82,720.98 +1,420.02
#FIRSTLOOK Maintain 60% cash reversers - uses today's early "pop" even out portfolio. $SPX The S&P futures 5642.50 +21.50. The selling from Monday spilled into the overnight session as the S&P dove to 5558.00 during the early stages of the Asian trade. That dip was bought, and the market appears to have stabilized since crossing back over the 5630 vicinity. The S&P is sitting closer to the top of the range with the high at 5647.00. factor: Shanghai Composite up on Citigroup upgraded Chinese equities, citing DeepSeek's massive potential and the central government's support of the technology space. 10 yr Note: 4.212% USD/JPY: 147.50 +0.24 EUR/USD: 1.0907 +0.0071 Europe: FTSE: -0.2% DAX: +0.6% CAC: +0.5% Asia: Hang Seng: 0.0% Shanghai: +0.4% Nikkei: -0.6% Gold (2915.20 +15.60) Silver (32.865 +0.340) Crude (66.43 +0.40) $BTC.X 81,494.08 -875.36
#SPMNOTES Keep cash reserves at 60% / only go long on "special situations." If not at 60% cash reserves do so. Don't buy the "noise" as being "oversold." Why the emphasis on cash reserves? ^ Cash reserves are instantly available cash to manage the G-101 SPM portfolio. ^ Cash reserves act as a buffer to limit buying power when the underlining algorithm data predicts a changing degree of risk/reward in the marketplace. ^ Cash reserve maintenance is our hedge against unforeseen problems, and to fund new opportunities. In the premarket under #FIRSTLOOK we post "cash reserves" as a percentage of capital to trade. The value is derived from our Primary Volume Locator (PVL), a directional grid (sentiment amplifier) that continuously tracks investment cash flows of the $SPX (S&P 500 Index) components.
#SPMNOTES New York Fed's Survey of Consumer Expectations for February: ^^ Median inflation expectations increased by 0.1 percentage point (ppt) to 3.1 percent at the one-year horizon and were unchanged at 3.0 percent at the three-year- and five-year-ahead horizons. ^^ Consumers' year-ahead expectations about their households' financial situations deteriorated considerably in February. The share of households expecting a worse financial situation one year from now rose to 27.4 percent, its highest level since November 2023. [read: “BEWARE OF THE CONSUMER WHO STOPS BUYING.” PART III northridge123456.com/post/b... ] ^^ Mean unemployment expectations—or the mean probability that the U.S. unemployment rate will be higher one year from now—jumped up by 5.4 ppt to 39.4 percent in February, its highest reading since September 2023. ^^The average perceived probability of missing a minimum debt payment over the next three months increased by 1.3 ppt to 14.6 percent, its highest level since April 2020.
#FIRSTLOOK MAINTAIN cash reserves at 60%. $SPX The S&P futures are down about 58 points and trading at 5717. note: Comments from President Trump signaling the possibility of a recession seemed to sour sentiment over the weekend. It appears he wants to "kill the market" and get credit at a later date for its resurrection. Need to read: TRUMP WANTS ALL YOUR MONEY ... published 15 hours ago. 10 yr Note: 4.261% USD/JPY: 147.28 -0.75 EUR/USD: 1.0845 +0.0011 Europe: FTSE: -0.5% DAX: -0.7% CAC: -0.5% Asia: Hang Seng: -1.9% Shanghai: -0.2% Nikkei: +0.4% Gold (2918.50 +4.40) Silver (33.025 +0.216) Crude (67.12 +0.08) $BTC.X 82,430.75 -3,050.00
#SPMNOTES Maintain 60% cash reserve. $SPX 5681.19 -54.42 Predicting what happens next: $SPX control points have an average SPM 89.34 tag 5672 5625 5540 5464 5400
#NOISE This means the Fed may hit the panic button and lower rates as a "shield" to positively project Trump's agenda. Fed Governor Michelle Bowman (voting FOMC member) "The U.S. economy has been experiencing major shocks and structural changes since the pandemic, which may have influenced or masked the transmission of monetary policy to real activity. It is, therefore, not straightforward to see how the impulse responses shown in this paper have translated in practice. And, as the paper acknowledges, a large portion of the fluctuations in real activity are driven by shocks other than those to monetary policy. Although the FOMC has been focused on lowering inflation in the past few years, as we continue to make progress on approaching our 2 percent target, I expect that the labor market and economic activity will become a larger factor in the FOMC's policy discussions. Accordingly, the stylized results on real activity effects in the paper will prove especially useful going forward."
#FIRSTLOOK Set cash reserves at 60%. $SPX S&P futures 5762.00 +15.75 10 yr Note: 4.273% USD/JPY: 147.42 -0.56 EUR/USD: 1.0865 +0.0077 Europe: FTSE: -0.4% DAX: -1.1% CAC: -0.7% Asia: Hang Seng: -0.6% Shanghai: -0.3% Nikkei: -2.2% Gold (2928.40 +1.80) Silver (33.270 -0.063) Crude (67.21 +0.85) $BTC.X 89,141.91 -1,944.23
#NOISE Losing followers because they don't like the truth. Maintain our cash reserve values is not a joke. As the term applied to G-101 SPM AI algorithm --- Cash reserves are instantly available cash assets to purchase securities and other financial instruments. During the growth and maturity stages of investing, maintaining a flexible cash reserve is the best means for success, both to hedge against unforeseen problems and to finance portfolio expansion through capital reinvestment. Moreover, by setting cash reserves they act as buffers to limit buying power when the underlining algorithm data* predicts the degree of risk/reward in the marketplace. * As a priority data category cash reserves are determined by our Primary Volume Locator (PVL), which tracks cash flows of the $SPX S&P 500 Index components to estimate the underlining liquidity of the Index.
#FIRSTLOOK Set support at 5740/resistance 5842. $SPX S&P 500 futures are down 74 points and are trading 1.3% below fair value. 10-yr yield is 4.29% 2-yr yield is down six basis points to 3.93% as traders and the other kind are parking cash as protection for more equity damage. Maintain 50% cash reserves (including short positions). Use $VIX call options with 60 - 90 day horizons. $SPX points of interest: 5694 5646
#FIRSTLOOK Retain 50% cash reserves. $SPX The S&P futures are down about 67 points and trading around 5785. The late-day rally could not maintain its momentum as the S&P found resistance around the 5850 vicinity. After several attempts to push through, the market could get no higher than 5853.00 before sellers took control and did not let off. The S&P sits right off the low of 5782.25. USD/JPY: 148.05 -0.84 EUR/USD: 1.0802 +0.0012 Europe: FTSE: -0.9% DAX: +0.3% CAC: -0.4% Asia: Hang Seng: +3.3% Shanghai: +1.2% Nikkei: +0.8% Gold (2907.60 -18.40) Silver (32.980 -0.154) Crude (66.54 +0.18) $BTC.X 91,067.93 +1,179.88
@Azntrdr70 We're "clueless" with 20.96% of all our ideas, and very sorry for that. ^^ From March 9, 2023, to February 28, 2025, 2777 symbols were posted with an APR of 79.04%. Click SEARCH (magnifying glass) icon on our landing page to review the postings.
#FIRSTLOOK Maintain cash reserves at 50%/ use current Trumpsky noise to reduce positions and continue to apply SPM data as a "positional strategist." $SPX The S&P futures 5822.50 +33.50. The late-day sell-off on Tuesday was met with buyers as the S&P Futures have seen a significant rebound since the Wall Street close. The range continued to offer traders opportunities with a high of 5844.25 and a low of 5807.75. 10 yr Note: 4.253% USD/JPY: 149.44 -0.37 EUR/USD: 1.0701 +0.0074 Europe: FTSE: +0.8% DAX: +3.7% CAC: +2.4% Asia: Hang Seng: +2.8% Shanghai: +0.5% Nikkei: +0.2% Gold (2927.70 +7.10) Silver (32.935 +0.554) Crude (67.34 -0.92) $BTC.X 89,802.91 +5,780.07
#NOISE Based on SPM 92.27 tag, it predicts that these facts will cause a material contraction in US consumer sending. Please read: “BEWARE OF THE CONSUMER WHO STOPS BUYING.” PART III published 3 days ago on our webpage. Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau press conference Mr. Trudeau said: ^ Canada will implement $155 bln in retaliatory tariffs. Some will start right away, others will start in 21 days. ^ Tariffs will remain in place as long as US tariffs are in place. ^ Tariffs will be challenged through USMCA. ^ Canada does not want to do this, they are being forced because of actions by US. $ US chose to launch a trade war. ^ Canada wants to help with fentanyl. Canadian border is already secure (most fentanyl comes from southern border). ^ This will harm US jobs and US consumers. ^ He tells his Canadian people that "things will be tough."
#NOISE Reads like the 1920s ... the United States had high tariffs on imported goods to protect American manufacturers and farmers. These tariffs included the Fordney-McCumber Tariff of 1922 and the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930. And you know what happened next --- The "market crash of '29" the devastating stock market crash that occurred in October 1929 on Wall Street, which marked the beginning of the Great Depression due to a rapid decline in stock prices and widespread panic selling by investors; this event is considered a pivotal moment in American economic history. Part II is playing out in "fast-motion," with $SPX about to be in freefall. ^ President Trump increases tariffs on Chinese imports to 20% from 10%; China announces retaliatory actions. ^ President Trump imposes 25% tariffs on imports from Canada/Mexico; Canada announces retaliatory actions.
#FIRSTLOOK Set cash reserves at 50%. $SPX The S&P futures 5858/75 -4.00. The meltdown in the US markets spilled over into Japan and Europe overnight. The S&P Futures appeared to stabilize, but sellers recently established control, pushing the market to test the 5850 area. The low rests at 5848.75. The high was established at 5884.00. 10 yr Note: 4.164% USD/JPY: 148.91 -0.59 EUR/USD: 1.0504 +0.0015 Europe: FTSE: -0.4% DAX: -1.9% CAC: -1.3% Asia: Hang Seng: -0.3% Shanghai: +0.2% Nikkei: -1.2% Gold (2925.40 +24.30) Silver (32.445 +0.135) Crude (67.59 -0.78) $BTC.X 83,914.91 -8,565.18 (-9.26%) Don't consider as cash reserve. _______ Last night's offering: "SAVED BY THE BELL #SPMNOTES $SPX 5849.88 -104.64 NEXT support test at 5703 in near term if $SPX doesn't close above 5829."
#SPMNOTES $SPX 5813.76 -140.76 NEXT support test at 5703 in near term if $SPX doesn't close above 5829. MAINTAIN 40% cash reserves. Stay defensive take profits/ don't buy on the dips --- it's Trumpsky's show.
#SPMNOTES Set cash reserves at 40% for the following reasons. UPDATE ^ The final week of February showed corrective action; $SPX S&P 500 logged a 1.0% decline. ^ Increased selling in the mega caps: . The Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ($MGK) declined 2.7% this week. ^ Buy-the-dip approaches, which proved successful earlier in the month, stalled out this week; fueled the unwinding of momentum trades. ^ Negative bias was inflation ^ Concerns about tariff proposals ^ Cuts government spending. ^ Soft economic data. February Consumer Confidence Index dropped from 105.3 to 98.3 (largest monthly decline since August 2021). ISSUE: Surge in average 12-month inflation expectations from 5.2% to 6.0%. New home sales declined 10.5% month in January to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 657,000. Jump in weekly initial jobless claims/pending home sales index hit a record low in January. Atlanta Fed GDP forecast for Q1 GDP was revised to a 1.5% contraction from 2.3% growth in the last estimate.
#SPMNOTES $SPX closed at SPM near support (5861.57). A 2% drop below this number "requires a test at 5750 and a 60% haircut on long positions".
#SPMNOTES $SPX has traded below 5960 to indicate at test of 5861 in the near term. Set cash reserves at 50% and take profits on open positions.
#FIRSTLOOK Set cash reserves at 30% from 25% $SPX S&P futures 5983.00 -17.75 10 yr Note: 4.343% USD/JPY: 149.76 +0.05 EUR/USD: 1.0471 +0.0002 Europe: FTSE: +0.3% DAX: +0.1% CAC: -0.1% Asia: Hang Seng: -1.3% Shanghai: -0.8% Nikkei: -1.4% Gold (2953.90 -9.30) Silver (32.575 -0.028) Crude (70.76 +0.06) $BTC.X 88,241.58 -7,404.62 (note: Near term support at 74,864.50. First time in 15 months cash reserves was set at 30%.
#SPMNOTES $SPX Index overview The stock market logged sharp declines in a broad-based retreat on above-average volume on this options expiration day. The major indices all settled near their worst levels of the day, which left the $SX S&P 500 just above its 50-day moving average (6,010) with a 1.7% loss. ^^ Concerns over growth and valuations drove consolidation activity and profit-taking interest. The concerns over growth followed soft economic data this morning, including the preliminary February S&P Global US Services PMI, which fell to contraction territory (i.e. below 50). ^^ University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment report for February, which dropped to 64.7, and existing home sales, which declined 4.9% month-over-month in January. Read “BEWARE OF THE CONSUMER WHO STOPS BUYING.” PART II on our webpage ^^ The worries about valuation have been growing this week, sparking discussions about the possibility of the market having reached a near-term peak.
#NOISE Trump is drinking the Kool-Aid, or maybe reading our noise: "THE TRADITIONAL STYLE OF WARFARE IS OBSOLETE" on our webpage speaks volumes of his desire for a 8% defense budget cut in each of the next 5 years, according to Washington Post. Related stocks: $LMT, $NOC, $GD, $LHX, $PLTR
#SPMNOTES .. and the rest of the story. $SPX S&P 500 futures are down 66.50 points and are trading 1.0% below fair value. Move in rates is diametrically opposed to the Trump administration's noise. ^ 2-yr note yield is 4.28% from 4.36%. ^ 10-yr note yield is4.64%. Meanwhile, the retail crowd has no fear, stepping up to buy every dip that has the S&P 500 levitating near an all-time high. The opportunity will be ripe for that crowd again today in that there is going to be a dip at the open. The question is, will they respond per usual? According to SPM tag, the inflation news is not good for fundamental and the need to "step-back" is prudent. ^^^ By maintaining a 25% cash reserves, we have reduced our overall risk and allow more firepower for the "bargains ahead." Happy hunting!
Allow G-101 SPM AI algorithm FIND THE TRUTH BEHIND THE FACTS.
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